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Archive for September, 2010

The Ballot Box: Eat your peas

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

If Barack Obama hadn’t realized that the hope and change magic spell was wearing off, he was jolted back to reality by an unknown audience member at a recent CNBC townhall meeting.

The IED came in the form of Velma Hart. Who? Exactly. Velma Hart has become the face of a group that has been growing steadily in number over the past several months: The Disgruntled Obama Voter. In less than one minute, Velma Hart became Hans Brinker in reverse; unlike the Little Dutch Boy, she pulled her finger out of the dyke and let the deluge take its course:

Quite frankly, I’m exhausted. Exhausted of defending you, defending your administration, defending the man for change I voted for, and deeply disappointed with where we are right now. I’ve been told that I voted for a man who said he was going to change things in a meaningful way for the middle class. I’m one of those people and I’m waiting, sir, I’m waiting. I don’t feel it yet. While I thought it wouldn’t be a great measure, I would feel it in some small measure. I have two children in private school, and the financial recession has taken an enormous toll on my family. My husband and I joked that we thought we were well beyond the hot dogs and beans era of our lives. And quite frankly, it’s starting to knock on our door and ring through that that might be where we’re headed. And quite frankly, Mr. President, I need you to answer honestly, is this my new reality?

Sorry Mrs. Hart, this is reality, not new, not just yours, but the whole country’s. The campaign ended long ago. Democrats took control of the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate. So what’s the problem?

Consider that Democrats are in the majority. Then take a look at the party’s recent record of failure. Failure to pass a repeal of Don’t Ask Don’t Tell. Failure to pass the Dream Act. Failure to address immigration reform. Failure to schedule a vote before the elections that would force the Republicans to defend and support continuing tax cuts for the rich. Failure to protect the public by plugging the enormous loopholes in the flawed health care reform bill (a piece of legislation that Democrats are touting as a “victory”). Failure to close Guantanamo. Failure to roll back the more egregious civil rights abuses of the Bush-Cheney era (indeed, we’re looking at an expansion of government snooping, not the other way around).

The country is unemployed, uninsured, showing up for Glenn Beck rallies and voting for Tea Party-backed certifiable lunatics, thieves and liars in the Republican primaries. It would stand to reason that faced with the frightening reality of having Senator Sharron Angle or Senator Christine O’Donnell would energize Democrats and send them in a rush to the polls in November. But the Democratic base, having been burned one too many times by a party terrified of failing to appear “bipartisan” and continually kowtowing to the most extreme instransigence of the opposition, isn’t terribly motivated to vote. Some have even had the temerity to question whether Obama intends to keep even a single promise he made during the campaign.

It appears that the White House has finally gotten the memo. Their solution? Like angry parents, the President and his VP have taken the unprecedented step of treating what’s left of their base like naughty children. “Stop whining” scolds Joe Biden. “People need to shake off this lethargy. People need to buck up…if people now want to take their ball and go home, that tells me folks weren’t serious in the first place” says Barack Obama. What’s next? “Don’t make me come down there”? Confiscating the Playstation?

But not to worry – the Democratic party chairman isn’t asleep at the wheel. This month the DNC announced a bold, game changing strategy: Call a meeting, splurge on a graphic artist and unveil an exciting new logo.

An upcoming “revolution?”

Wednesday, September 29th, 2010

by Bilal Qureshi

According to the New York Times, Pakistan’s military is maneuvering to remove the current government. This, according to the paper, is because of corruption and lack of proper response to the flood.

What is missing from the report is that once this government is gone, angels and superheroes are going to takeover and they will change everything wrong with Pakistan, overnight.

The world has seen this before, but I suspect that people in Pakistan like this game of throwing out democratic governments and bringing in old, tried, and tired hands with this hope that somehow, magically, things will change and yes, improve, even though, history begs to differ.

No point in repeating that the current government has been perpetually dealt with crisis right after Musharaff and his cronies left the country without any food, water and money. What Musharaff and his gang did leave behind were multiple disasters in the shape of terrorism, charged up lawyers movement, and uncountable other problems that the current government is still trying to solve.

If Pakistan is viewed as a society without the deranged and delusional support of Pakistan’s contemporary electronic media, it is still not a bad place. However, because of the consistent poisonous war against the left leaning and progressive government of Pakistan People’s Party waged by the jihadists, so called-journalists and judges with the not so subtle help from the army, the country seems like a hell hole.

Ironically, the current champions of freedom of press have jailed journalists while they were in Power. Ask Najam Sethi, Husain Haqani (to name a few) about the experience. Even worse, the same people who claim to be in love with ‘independent judiciary’ are also responsible for organizing the one and only attack on judiciary. Just ask Sajad Ali Shah about it.

As awful as it sounds, it seems likely that the Zardari and Gillani will be shown the door, but it is going to be a supremely sad day for Pakistan’s public and for its future. Gone are the days when an elected government was overthrown, especially when it represented people from smaller provinces, and people took it quietly. Not any more.

Equally terrible is the prospect of ordinary Pakistanis suffering because of this upcoming ‘revolution’. And those, who are inviting a revolution, must not forget what happened in China, Russia, Iran, and Cuba when ordinary people gave up their rights for buying into the hideous notion of a better future. Better life after a revolution remains an unfulfilled dream, and an empty promise. It has never anywhere in the world, and it is not going to happen in Pakistan either. It will only make life more miserable for ordinary citizens and it will tremendously help the hard core hyper nationalists dying to dominate the society.

So, here is a message from insanity to the generals in Pakistan. “Go ahead, remove the government, and make my day.”

Kashmir: Worse than Afghanistan?

Monday, September 27th, 2010

by Bruce Reidel

When Obama visits India in November, he must secure a deal on Kashmir, the disputed province where unrest is building again. At stake is another Indo-Pakistani confrontation—with nuclear potential.

Just as the war in Afghanistan is getting bloodier and Pakistan is drowning in floods, a new (yet old) battlefield is heating up in Kashmir. President Barack Obama’s strategy for dealing with Afghanistan and Pakistan always needed a Kashmir component to succeed; that need is becoming more urgent and obvious now. His trip to India in November will be a key to addressing it.

An independent Kashmir is not in the offing. Neither India nor Pakistan would ever accept that outcome. Pakistan has been trying to annex Kashmir since the hour it was born in 1947 and has long and established ties to many terrorist groups operating in the province like Lashkar e Tayyiba, the group that attacked Mumbai in 2008. India is determined to hold on to the part of Kashmir it won in the 1947-48 war at all costs.

This summer, after several years of relative quiet, the Muslim majority in the Vale of Kashmir, the heart of the province, began protesting against Indian occupation. Young Kashmiris began protesting against what they allege are Indian occupation forces’ human-rights abuses. Up to 700,000 Indian army and police garrison the province with a very heavy hand. Stone-throwing produced clashes with the Indian army. Over a hundred have died in what is becoming a Kashmiri version of the first Palestinian intifada of the late 1980s. Polling shows the majority of the Muslim population wants independence.

There is a solution, however, to the problem. The cease-fire line that divides Kashmir between India and Pakistan, the line of control, would become the agreed international border between the two countries. At the same time, it would become a permeable border for Kashmiris, who could move back and forth easily. Both countries’ currencies would be valid on both sides of the line. The two parts of Kashmir, Pakistani Azad Kashmir and Indian Kashmir and Jammu, would handle local issues like tourism, sports, and the environment in joint shared institutions along the lines of how Ireland and Ulster work together now on all Northern Ireland issues.

The broad outlines of this deal were worked out by then Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in secret back-channel talks four years ago. Musharraf told me that while a deal was not consummated, they were very close when his domestic political problems shut down the exercise. Lashkar e Tayyiba’s Mumbai attack was designed to kill it for good.

The new uprising in the Kashmiri capital of Srinagar makes it imperative to get back to the back channel and finish the talks. Pakistani President Asif Zardari probably would embrace them eagerly, but he is too weak to go alone. He needs the Pakistani army on board, and it is unclear if the army chief, General Kayani, Musharraf’s intelligence chief during the old talks, is on board. It will take strong and brave leadership to get a deal, but it is critical to defeating the jihadist Frankenstein that now terrorizes Pakistan itself. If left to itself, the Pakistani army will be tempted to intervene in Kashmir again to help the until now largely indigenous revolt, running the risk of another Indo-Pakistani confrontation.

Singh undoubtedly wishes he had seized the pending deal with Musharraf when it was there. India cannot become a global power with a prosperous economy if its neighbor is a constant source of terror armed with the bomb. A sick Pakistan is not a good neighbor.

For the U.S., reducing and resolving the India-Pakistan Cold War before it goes hot is critical to stability in South Asia, isolating the jihadi extremists and preventing a war in South Asia that could go nuclear. But India is understandably averse to American meddling in its internal affairs. President Obama learned that in the transition, when he briefly floated the idea of an American special envoy for Kashmir and he got a firestorm of Indian resistance.

Obama’s challenge is to quietly help Islamabad and New Delhi work behind the scenes to get back to the deal Musharraf and Singh negotiated. He will have a chance to work this subtly when he visits India in November. The new Kashmiri intifada has put the issue back on the front burner. A deal is good for America, India, Pakistan, and especially the Kashmiris, who have suffered enough.

This article originally appeared in www.thedailybeast.com

Muhammad: In the age of terrorism

Friday, September 24th, 2010

A review of Deepak Chopra’s new book “Muhammad: A Story of the Last Prophet” by Zafar Syed

The Prophet of Islam must be one of the most controversial figures in the West. And not just in the present times; he has been misunderstood, maligned and slandered from the very beginning. A cursory look at Dante’s Inferno or Cervantes’ Don Quixote, two towering literary achievements of the Western civilization, will prove this point.
So what does Deepak Chopra, a popular writer and spiritual guru, has to say about the Prophet in his recently launched book in a time of Muslims and the Islamic faith getting a pounding in the Western world – Quran burning threats, opposition to mosques in America; blasphemous cartoons, ban on the minarets and veils in Europe?

Before jumping headlong into the book, first let me lift one stone off my chest: I have never been a fan of Deepak Chopra. Even though he has been basking in a rock star-like fame and glory in the corridors of American high culture, I found his spirituality devoid of the spark and his erudition uninspiring. When put side by side with such figures (more…)

Obama: “The cancer is in Pakistan”

Friday, September 24th, 2010

by Steve Luxenberg

Obama campaigned on a promise to extract U.S. forces from Iraq and focus on Afghanistan and Pakistan, which he described as the greater threat to American security. At then-Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell’s top-secret briefing for Obama, the intelligence chief told the president-elect that Pakistan is a dishonest partner, unwilling or unable to stop elements of the Pakistani intelligence service from giving clandestine aid, weapons and money to the Afghan Taliban, Woodward writes.

By the end of the 2009 strategy review, Washington Post editor Bob Woodward reports, Obama concluded that no mission in Afghanistan could be successful without attacking the al-Qaeda and Afghan Taliban havens operating with impunity in Pakistan’s remote tribal regions.

“We need to make clear to people that the cancer is in Pakistan,” Obama is quoted as saying at an Oval Office meeting on Nov. 25, 2009. Creating a more secure Afghanistan is imperative, the president said, “so the cancer doesn’t spread” there.

The war in Iraq draws no attention in the book, except as a reference point for considering and developing a new Afghanistan strategy. The book’s title, “Obama’s Wars,” appears to refer to the conflict in Afghanistan and the conflicts among the president’s national security team.

This excerpt originally appeared in The Washington Post

Petraeus: Obama “****ing with the wrong guy”

Friday, September 24th, 2010

by Steve Steve Luxenberg

President Obama urgently looked for a way out of the war in Afghanistan last year, repeatedly pressing his top military advisers for an exit plan that they never gave him, according to secret meeting notes and documents cited in a new book by journalist Bob Woodward.

Frustrated with his military commanders for consistently offering only options that required significantly more troops, Obama finally crafted his own strategy, dictating a classified six-page “terms sheet” that sought to limit U.S. involvement, Woodward reports in “Obama’s Wars,” to be released on Monday.

According to Woodward’s meeting-by-meeting, memo-by-memo account of the 2009 Afghan strategy review, the president avoided talk of victory as he described his objectives.

“This needs to be a plan about how we’re going to hand it off and get out of Afghanistan,” Obama is quoted as telling White House aides as he laid out his reasons for adding 30,000 troops in a short-term escalation. “Everything we’re doing has to be focused on how we’re going to get to the point where we can reduce our footprint. It’s in our national security interest. There cannot be any wiggle room.”

Obama rejected the military’s request for 40,000 troops as part of an expansive mission that had no foreseeable end. “I’m not doing 10 years,” he told Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton at a meeting on Oct. 26, 2009. “I’m not doing long-term nation-building. I am not spending a trillion dollars.”

Woodward’s book portrays Obama and the White House as barraged by warnings about the threat of terrorist attacks on U.S. soil and confronted with the difficulty in preventing them. During an interview with Woodward in July, the president said, “We can absorb a terrorist attack. We’ll do everything we can to prevent it, but even a 9/11, even the biggest attack ever . . . we absorbed it and we are stronger.”

But most of the book centers on the strategy review, and the dissension, distrust and infighting that consumed Obama’s national security team as it was locked in a fierce and emotional struggle over the direction, goals, timetable, troop levels and the chances of success for a war that is almost certain to be one of the defining events of this presidency.

Obama is shown at odds with his uniformed military commanders, particularly Adm. Mike Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Gen. David H. Petraeus, head of U.S. Central Command during the 2009 strategy review and now the top U.S. and NATO commander in Afghanistan.

Woodward reveals their conflicts through detailed accounts of two dozen closed-door secret strategy sessions and nearly 40 private conversations between Obama and Cabinet officers, key aides and intelligence officials.

Tensions often turned personal. National security adviser James L. Jones privately referred to Obama’s political aides as “the water bugs,” the “Politburo,” the “Mafia,” or the “campaign set.” Petraeus, who felt shut out by the new administration, told an aide that he considered the president’s senior adviser David Axelrod to be “a complete spin doctor.”

During a flight in May, after a glass of wine, Petraeus told his own staffers that the administration was “[expletive] with the wrong guy.” Gates was tempted to walk out of an Oval Office meeting after being offended by comments made by deputy national security adviser Thomas E. Donilon about a general not named in the book.

Suspicion lingered among some from the 2008 presidential campaign as well. When Obama floated the idea of naming Clinton to a high-profile post, Axelrod asked him, “How could you trust Hillary?”

“Obama’s Wars” marks the 16th book by Woodward, 67, a Washington Post associate editor. Woodward’s reporting with Carl Bernstein on the Watergate coverup in the early 1970s led to their bestselling book “All the President’s Men.”

Among the book’s other disclosures:

– Obama told Woodward in the July interview that he didn’t think about the Afghan war in the “classic” terms of the United States winning or losing. “I think about it more in terms of: Do you successfully prosecute a strategy that results in the country being stronger rather than weaker at the end?” he said.

– The CIA created, controls and pays for a clandestine 3,000-man paramilitary army of local Afghans, known as Counterterrorism Pursuit Teams. Woodward describes these teams as elite, well-trained units that conduct highly sensitive covert operations into Pakistan as part of a stepped-up campaign against al-Qaeda and Afghan Taliban havens there.

– Obama has kept in place or expanded 14 intelligence orders, known as findings, issued by his predecessor, George W. Bush. The orders provide the legal basis for the CIA’s worldwide covert operations.

– A new capability developed by the National Security Agency has dramatically increased the speed at which intercepted communications can be turned around into useful information for intelligence analysts and covert operators. “They talk, we listen. They move, we observe. Given the opportunity, we react operationally,” then-Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell explained to Obama at a briefing two days after he was elected president.

– A classified exercise in May showed that the government was woefully unprepared to deal with a nuclear terrorist attack in the United States. The scenario involved the detonation of a small, crude nuclear weapon in Indianapolis and the simultaneous threat of a second blast in Los Angeles. Obama, in the interview with Woodward, called a nuclear attack here “a potential game changer.” He said: “When I go down the list of things I have to worry about all the time, that is at the top, because that’s one where you can’t afford any mistakes.”

– Afghan President Hamid Karzai was diagnosed as manic depressive, according to U.S. intelligence reports. “He’s on his meds, he’s off his meds,” Woodward quotes U.S. Ambassador Karl W. Eikenberry as saying.

Obama kept asking for “an exit plan” to go along with any further troop commitment, and is shown growing increasingly frustrated with the military hierarchy for not providing one. At one strategy session, the president waved a memo from the Office of Management and Budget, which put a price tag of $889 billion over 10 years on the military’s open-ended approach.

In the end, Obama essentially designed his own strategy for the 30,000 troops, which some aides considered a compromise between the military command’s request for 40,000 and Biden’s relentless efforts to limit the escalation to 20,000 as part of a “hybrid option” that he had developed with Gen. James E. Cartwright, the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

In a dramatic scene at the White House on Sunday, Nov. 29, 2009, Obama summoned the national security team to outline his decision and distribute his six-page terms sheet. He went around the room, one by one, asking each participant whether he or she had any objections – to “say so now,” Woodward reports.

The document – a copy of which is reprinted in the book – took the unusual step of stating, along with the strategy’s objectives, what the military was not supposed to do. The president went into detail, according to Woodward, to make sure that the military wouldn’t attempt to expand the mission.

After Obama informed the military of his decision, Woodward writes, the Pentagon kept trying to reopen the decision, peppering the White House with new questions. Obama, in exasperation, reacted by asking, “Why do we keep having these meetings?”

Along with Gen. Stanley A. McChrystal, the top U.S. commander in Afghanistan at the time, they kept pushing for their 40,000-troop option as part of a broad counterinsurgency plan along the lines of what Petraeus had developed for Iraq.

The president is quoted as telling Mullen, Petraeus and Gates: “In 2010, we will not be having a conversation about how to do more. I will not want to hear, ‘We’re doing fine, Mr. President, but we’d be better if we just do more.’ We’re not going to be having a conversation about how to change [the mission] . . . unless we’re talking about how to draw down faster than anticipated in 2011.”

Petraeus took Obama’s decision as a personal repudiation, Woodward writes. Petraeus continued to believe that a “protect-the-Afghan-people” counterinsurgency was the best plan. When the president tapped Petraeus this year to replace McChrystal as the head of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan, Petraeus found himself in charge of making Obama’s more limited strategy a success.

Woodward quotes Petraeus as saying, “You have to recognize also that I don’t think you win this war. I think you keep fighting. It’s a little bit like Iraq, actually. . . . Yes, there has been enormous progress in Iraq. But there are still horrific attacks in Iraq, and you have to stay vigilant. You have to stay after it. This is the kind of fight we’re in for the rest of our lives and probably our kids’ lives.”

This story originally appeared in The Washington Post

Aafia Siddiqui gets 86-year sentence

Thursday, September 23rd, 2010

By Dan Murphy -Boston

Aafia Siddiqui, a US-educated Pakistani neuroscientist whose lawyers argued is mentally unstable, was sentenced to 86 years in prison in a New York district court for trying to shoot American soldiers in an Afghanistan police station two years ago.

The saga of Ms. Siddiqui, a former student at Brandeis University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), has been closely followed in her home country, where she is widely viewed as innocent.

At the time of her conviction in February on two counts of attempted murder, thousands of protesters took to the streets of Islamabad. Hundreds of Pakistanis have been killed in US drone strikes in the lawless border areas near Afghanistan this year, and the public perception of the United States has turned sharply negative.

The reaction to her sentencing today was more muted, thought it came late in the day Pakistan time.

The events leading to her conviction took place in 2008, when she had been detained near the Afghanistan city of Ghazni. During an attempt to interrogate her by US soldiers, she grabbed an American rifle and opened fire. She hit no one, and was shot and wounded as she attempted to flee.

US authorities said she was found with bomb-making instructions and a list of prominent New York city sites, which they said appeared to be a target list.

But Siddiqui had been on US authorities’ radars long before her detention. The FBI issued an alert saying it was seeking Siddiqui, then living in the US, for questioning because of ties to a man alleged to be an Al Qaeda agent planning attacks in the US. She disappeared around that time, and precisely what happened in the five years before her detention in Ghazni is unclear.

She has variously said that she was kidnapped and held secretly by the US during that time, that she’d been kidnapped and held by Pakistan, and that she was a secret agent for the Pakistani intelligence services. US court filings say she told FBI agents that she’d married Ammar al-Baluchi, a nephew of Khalid Sheikh Muhammad, the man who carried out most of the planning for the 9/11 attacks and who is in US custody in Guantánamo Bay.

She was originally declared to be mentally fit to go on trial, though that decision was overturned last year, with some prison psychiatrists arguing that she was faking the symptoms of mental illness.

Richard Berman, the sentencing judge, was unswayed by the defense’s request for leniency on the basis of mental illness. Siddiqui herself remained calm in court, and called for peace after her sentencing.

”Don’t get angry,” she said, according to Pakistan’s Dawn newspaper. ”Forgive Judge Berman.”

New book: CIA army operating in Pakistan

Thursday, September 23rd, 2010

by Justin Elliott

Washington Post investigative reporter Bob Woodward’s new book is coming out on Monday and both the New York Times and the Washington Post have written preview pieces.

So what will we likely be hearing about for the next month? Gen. David Petraeus once referred to top Obama advisor David Axelrod as “a complete spin doctor,” according to the book, titled “Obama’s Wars.” Joe Biden once called Afghanistan guru Richard Holbrooke “the most egotistical bastard I’ve ever met.” And national security advisor James Jones once called Obama’s political aides “water bugs.”

But what should we be talking about from the book?

The undeclared, undebated secret war in Pakistan is bigger than we knew, and it’s being conducted in part by CIA-trained Afghans:

The CIA created, controls and pays for a clandestine 3,000-man paramilitary army of local Afghans, known as Counterterrorism Pursuit Teams. Woodward describes these teams as elite, well-trained units that conduct highly sensitive covert operations into Pakistan as part of a stepped-up campaign against al-Qaeda and Afghan Taliban havens there.

The Obama administration seems to be enamored with a drone-based foreign policy:

Mr. Woodward reveals the code name for the C.I.A.’s drone missile campaign in Pakistan, Sylvan Magnolia, and writes that the White House was so enamored of the program that Mr. Emanuel would regularly call the C.I.A. director, Leon E. Panetta, asking, “Who did we get today?”

This is how President Obama defines victory in Afghanistan:

Obama told Woodward in the July interview that he didn’t think about the Afghan war in the “classic” terms of the United States winning or losing. “I think about it more in terms of: Do you successfully prosecute a strategy that results in the country being stronger rather than weaker at the end?” he said.

And this is the man who the United States is relying on over there:

The book also reports that the United States has intelligence showing that manic-depression has been diagnosed in President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan and that he was on medication, but adds no details.

Woodward’s book presents an opportunity to explore and debate issues that haven’t gotten much airing — the war in Pakistan, the drone strikes, Obama’s continuation of various Bush-era policies. Unfortunately, it comes wrapped up with another opportunity: to obsess over sketchily sourced stories of interpersonal sniping within the administration.

This story originally appeared in Salon.com

The Turkish referendum: a step forward or backward?

Tuesday, September 21st, 2010

by Ishtiaq Ahmed

The referendum on constitutional reforms held in Turkey on September 12, 2010, gave a clear majority — 58 percent in favour and 42 against — to the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) government headed by Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan. Turkish liberals, the European Union (EU) and the Obama administration have welcomed the outcome of the referendum as an important step in the direction of democracy and establishment of civilian hegemony over the Turkish polity. The market has responded favourably and, as a consequence, economic growth is expected to receive a boost. The constitutional reforms are important also to facilitate Turkey’s membership in the EU as the government structure will now correspond more closely to the basic format applicable to EU members. Prime Minister Erdogan has declared the verdict of the Turkish people as a milestone that will ensure that Turkey will not have to suffer any more military coups.

The AKP descends from a long pedigree of Islamist parties whose bids to capture power were frustrated by the Turkish military and the constitutional court, two institutions that have been the stronghold of the fiercely secular legacy bequeathed by the founder of modern Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk. Realising that they stood no chance of capturing power on an Islamist agenda, some of the more pragmatic members of the Islamist movement broke away and formed the AKP as a conservative Muslim party. The AKP wants itself to be considered as a Muslim equivalent to the Christian Democratic parties of Western Europe. It denies it is against secularism.

In any event, the constitutional reforms that the voters have approved include a long list of 26 items, of which the two most contentious relate to the autonomy of the Turkish military and the composition of the constitutional court. With regards to the military, after the constitutional reforms it will be possible for officers who have been dismissed from their jobs by a military court to appeal against the decision in a civil court. Moreover, the immunity granted under the 1982 constitution to the military officers who carried out the 1980 coup has been withdrawn. All such changes are viewed with dismay by the secularist elite that considers the military to be the custodian of Kemalism and secularism.

The second worrisome reform from the secularist point of view is about the Turkish Constitutional Court. Its main function has been to ensure the laws passed by parliament are compatible with the constitution. The constitutional court has thus far been dominated by judges and jurists strongly committed to secularism. Following the recent referendum and the reforms approved by the people, the government will have the power to enlarge the membership of the constitutional court. Secularists fear the government will place judges on the bench who may be sympathetic to an Islamist agenda.

Moreover, after winning the referendum, Prime Minister Erdogan has announced that the government will now embark upon the formulation of a new constitution. There can be no doubt that the referendum brought forth very vividly the polarisation in Turkish society. The coastal cities and towns of Western Turkey, described by some observers as the Aegean rim, voted overwhelmingly against the constitutional reforms while the small towns of the Anatolian hinterland came out strongly in favour of them. The AKP’s support base comprises largely of the upwardly mobile businessmen, traders and entrepreneurs who are socially and culturally conservative Muslims.

Democracy is a game of numbers and the numbers are undoubtedly with the AKP. One can only hope that the secularists will accept the verdict of the people with grace and equanimity. The secularists were in power for more than 70 years and had ample opportunity to accommodate the aspirations and interests of the rising middle classes from the countryside. They did not. Thus these neglected sections of society turned to the AKP, which represents a conservative social and cultural outlook.

As for the suspicion that the constitutional reforms are a sinister first move in a grand conspiracy to undo the secular foundations of Turkey, nothing can be said for certain. My wife is Turkish and we both have more than the usual curiosity about what happens in that secular republic. I can testify that Turkey is a case of quite successful modernisation and secularisation. The greatest gift of the Kemalist revolution was the liberation and emancipation of Turkish women from the tutelage of the harem culture of the Ottomans. In modern Turkey it is possible for a young woman to undertake all alone a night journey by bus from one part to another of the country without fearing molestation and harassment.

There are some indications that the populist cultural practices of the AKP tend to promote a conservative standpoint on the rights and status of women. There has been considerable controversy about young females wearing the headscarf on university campuses. The argument given in favour of headscarves by a dear Turkish friend of mine, who is an ardent supporter of the constitutional reforms, is that conservative families allow girls to go to university only if they wear the headscarf. That actually proves my point that the headscarf controversy has less to do with the free choice of women and more with the dictates of the male members of the family.

In any case, if the constitutional reforms do establish a vibrant and pulsating democracy then the freedom of choice debate can continue on this and related issues. As long as the Turkish constitution remains democratic and secular, it should be possible to accommodate different lifestyles. The Islamic revival is a fact and all states have to adopt different strategies to handle it. It would be a tragedy if the AKP were to act as the Trojan horse of an Islamist counter-revolution. I was greatly perturbed when, in 2008, the visiting President Ahmadinejad of Iran refused to visit the mausoleum of Ataturk and the AKP government acquiesced in that breach of protocol. That would be unthinkable if the government was truly respectful of the founding father of the nation. This and many other such moves of the AKP do give reason to suspect its intentions. It is therefore important that Turkish secularists continue to demand that the AKP comes out clean on its declared policy of remaining faithful to secular democracy.

The writer is a Professor Emeritus of Political Science, Stockholm University. He is also Honorary Senior Fellow of the Institute of South Asian Studies, National University of Singapore.

Aftermath of floods

Tuesday, September 21st, 2010

By Bilal Qureshi

It is true Pakistan has been dealing with awful scenarios one after another since 1947, but at some point, the masses must take charge and work toward changing their destiny. Crisis or no crisis, people in Pakistan by now should have perfected, and if not perfected, at least gotten a good grip on how to elect the right people, and make appropriate choices about Pakistan’s future, etc, which has not happened in the last 60 years. Instead of being in control, majority of the country has been in denial and they were helped in remaining in denial by the anonymous power players with a simple, but brilliant ploy– blame (more…)



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